My upset of the week: Buccaneers (+6.5) at Panthers.

My no-brainer of the week: Cowboys (-2.5) at Giants.

My record against the spread:

Last week: 7-9.

Season: 89-87.

NY Jets at Buffalo (+2.5)

Last week: Jets beat Panthers 17-6; Bills beat Dolphins 31-14.

Two teams with losing records will go at it in snoozing Toronto – why doesn’t the NFL schedules  these games in Montreal is beyond me - on Thursday night. But just because it's the Bills (4-7) and Jets (5-6) doesn't mean there isn't some intrigue to this north-of-the-boredom showdown of AFC East rivals.

Among the tasty story lines will be the much-anticipated matchup between Bills wide receiver Terrell Owens and Jets cornerback Darrelle Revis. Both are supremely confident and talented players who will try to impose their will and skill on each other.

There will be plenty of focus on the quarterbacks. The Bills feel a late-season turnaround is in the offing with Ryan Fitzpatrick leading the offense. His play as a passer and runner has made a huge difference since taking over for the ineffective Trent Edwards. The Jets' thin playoff hopes rest on the shoulders of rookie Mark Sanchez, who has experienced all the ups and downs of a first-year signal caller but flashes elite skills that give him a chance to be special down the road.

This game also will feature a rematch of the Bills' run defense and Jets running back Thomas Jones, who ran for a franchise-record 210 yards against Buffalo in the last meeting.

And of course, there is the interesting coaching matchup between Bills' interim head man Perry Fewell and the Jets' first-year leader Rex Ryan. Both are colorful characters who have wasted little time putting their stamp on these teams.

The Jets' new color-coding system to remind Mark Sanchez of game situations worked well against punchless Carolina, but it remains to be seen how it will fare against other teams. However, the Jets rushed for a whopping 318 yards against Buffalo in the last meeting, so Sanchez may not have to do much. Keep in mind, though, that change-of-pace running back Leon Washington chipped in 99 yards on the ground that day, and he is now on injured reserve.

Terrell Owens has come to life in the first two games under interim coach Perry Fewell, with 14 receptions for 293 yards and two TDs. While Fewell says there has been no special emphasis in the game plan on targeting Owens, the Bills seem to be taking more downfield shots to him than they were under the deposed Dick Jauron. The Jets are expecting yet another lockdown performance by CB Darrelle Revis.

In Buffalo's first regular-season game in Toronto last year, Miami dominated the Bills in a 16-3 win at Rogers Centre in which the struggling Bills seemed to have very little crowd support. It could be more of the same Thursday if the Jets can grab the early lead, much like they did in their last road victory when they blanked woeful Oakland on Oct. 25.

The Bills couldn't stop the Jets' running back in the first meeting as he accounted for 210 of the Jets' 318 rushing yards. The Bills have allowed seven 100-yard rushers, but are playing much better against the run. If the Bills limit Jones, the Jets will have to move the ball through the air, which is not always a good thing for them.

The Bills won the earlier meeting in the Meadowlands despite giving up 300-plus rushing yards because they intercepted Sanchez five times. Many of the picks were gift-wrapped as Sanchez threw right at Bills defenders. Sanchez was more efficient last week, but he still is prone to making negative plays. Look for the Bills to bring pressure and disguise coverages to try to confuse and frustrate the rookie.

The Bills had a nice mixture of run and pass in last week's win over Miami. Fewelll gave running back Fred Jackson a start, and Jackson responded with 116 yards from scrimmage (73 rushing). He gives the Bills more versatility in the run and pass games than does Marshawn Lynch. Fitzpatrick has a good feel for reading defenses and is willing to take shots downfield. That makes Owens and fellow receiver Lee Evans very happy. The Jets will bring blitzes because of their faith in cornerbacks Revis and Lito Sheppard. But Fitzpatrick is poised against pressure and he's a threat to run when the pocket breaks down.

This is a must-win for the Jets, who squandered a 3-0 start and likely will need to run the table just to get a whiff of the playoffs. They are coming off perhaps their best defensive performance of the season, holding Carolina under 180 total yards.

The key Thursday will be how Sanchez plays. He does fine when he takes what the defense gives him, but he forces throws too often and that will play into the Bills' hands again. Believe it or not, the Bills aren't mathematically eliminated from the playoffs. But their first priority is trying to build momentum one win at a time.

Their makeshift offensive line will have to keep Jets' blitz-happy defenders off Fitzpatrick and Jackson to have a chance to move the ball. The defense has been opportunistic all season. If the Bills can stop the run and make the Jets throw more, they will win the turnover battle and the game, but not in Toronto. Take Jets.

Philadelphia at Atlanta (+4.5)

Last week: Eagles beat Redskins 27-24; Falcons beat Buccaneers 20-17.

Chris Redman will start at quarterback for the Falcons replacing Matt Ryan, who's out with turf toe. Redman had not thrown a pass in a regular-season game since the end of the tumultuous 2007 season. He last played in a meaningful regular season game back in 2002.

He was solid last week, completing 23 of 41 passes for 243 yards and two touchdowns, including a game-winning touchdown pass with 23 seconds left to beat the Bucs 20-17. He hopes to have better timing with his wideouts after getting the first-team reps in practice.

Of the eight NFC teams above .500, the Falcons have the second-easiest path to the playoffs, but that won't mean much if they can't beat the Eagles, who have a game lead and would take the coveted head-to-head tiebreaker advantage with a victory. The Falcons made the playoffs last season as a wild-card with an 11-5 record. They would have to win out to match last season's mark.

The Eagles' Wildcat quarterback Michael Vick returns to the city where his NFL career started. Even though he won't likely play much, he will have support in the stands. Vick guided the Falcons to the NFC Championship game after the 2005 season and still has strong support in pockets of the city despite his conviction on federal dog fighting charges. The Falcons don't want to roll out the red carpet for his return.

 Redman, who will be making just his 11th start in the NFL, is likely to get a heavy dose of blitzing from the Eagles. He will have to know where his hot receivers are and shoot the ball out to them. He had some timing issues with the wide receivers when he came on in relief against Tampa Bay last week, but didn't have any issues with finding tight end Tony Gonzalez four times during a game-winning touchdown drive.

Redman makes his first start in nearly two years for Atlanta, but Redman has never played against the Eagles and their blitz-heavy defense. The Eagles need to mix up their blitzes and disguise coverages to pressure Redman into making errant throws. They can't let him get comfortable in the pocket.

The Eagles needed a fourth-quarter comeback to beat a depleted Redskins team that had five Pro Bowlers sidelined. Now they face an Atlanta offense without Ryan and hampered by injuries to RB Michael Turner and on the offensive line. They can't play to an inferior level, commit penalties and miss tackles all over the field like they did against the Redskins. They need to play with supreme confidence, get an early lead and drop the hammer when given the chance.

Indeed they have relied too much on David Akers' field goals instead of finishing off drives deep in their opponents' territory. It starts with protecting Donovan McNabb, eliminating penalties and using all resources. Backup tight end Alex Smith can be an effective pass-catching weapon at the goal line if given more opportunities. Vick is another untapped resource who's bursting at the seams to score his first touchdown.

The Eagles' speedy receiver DeSean Jackson has a concussion issue, but if he recovers in time to play, he will cause the Falcons' secondary major problems. The Falcons give up 252.6 passing yards (27th) a game and will start rookie Christopher Owens at left cornerback. He became the fourth player to make a start at the position last week against Tampa Bay.

The Falcons' rushing attack has been slowed down by injuries to Michael Turner and Jerious Norwood. Turner re-injured his high right ankle sprain and will not be 100 percent if he plays. Norwood, who has missed six games, showed some flashes in his first game back last week, including a 22-yard touchdown on a shovel pass. Jason Snelling is a plugger and runs hard between the tackles.

When a backup quarterback is facing a starting quarterback, especially one of Donovan McNabb's stature, it's wise to go with the starter. You just figure the starter will make more plays than the backup. McNabb and the Eagles start their December push to the playoffs by handing the Falcons their first home loss of the season. Take Eagles.

Tennessee at Indianapolis (-6.5)

Last week: Titans beat Cardinals 20-17; Colts beat Texans 35-27.

A pair of streaking teams collides at Lucas Oil Stadium. The unbeaten Colts can tie New England's all-time record with a 21st consecutive regular-season victory. The Titans, who happen to be the last team to beat Indy in the regular season, have won five straight since owner Bud Adams ordered coach Jeff Fisher to replace QB Kerry Collins with Vince Young.

 Tennessee's playoff pulse is faint, but it's there. If they can upset the Colts, their closing schedule is conducive to a 10-6 record: home games against the Rams, Dolphins, Chargers, and a trip to Seattle.

Titans RB Chris Johnson is worth the price of admission. He leads the league with 1,396 yards and is a big play waiting to happen.

The latest installment in the intense rivalry should present a study in offensive opposites. The Colts are riding QB Peyton Manning, who's on pace to throw for 4,900 yards, while the Titans follow the lead of Johnson, who's on pace to run for 2,000. Which team can dictate the game's flow?

Johnson has been on an incredible roll this season, with six straight games with at least 125 yards. If the Titans want to pull the upset in Indianapolis, they must get Johnson cranked up. That will allow them to control the football and the clock, keeping it away from Manning & Co. Johnson, of course, has been known to rip off some long runs that wouldn't allow the Titans to keep the ball for long.

Young has proven he can win games by running and passing. In the process, he's also shown he can play pretty close to mistake-free football, which is what he'll try and do against the Colts. Young has thrown just two interceptions in his five starts this season. He's done a good job protecting the football while making good decisions. Manning is tough enough to stop when he has to go 80. The Titans can't afford to give him a short field with interceptions or turnovers.

Young is coming off a career-best 387-yard passing game against the Arizona Cardinals, but he's still a major threat when he's able to break pocket containment and create plays with his legs. In the past, the Colts have used S Bob Sanders as a "spy" against Young. Sanders is out for the season, but defensive coordinator Larry Coyer still might follow a similar blueprint, perhaps with S Melvin Bullitt. Bullitt has decent size (6-1, 201) and is a physical player.

The Colts have gotten off to an 11-0 start for the second time in five seasons despite dealing with a spate of significant injuries. They appear to be regaining a bit of their health, though, as CB Kelvin Hayden is expected to return after missing four games with a knee injury. Hayden's return likely sends rookie Jacob Lacey back to the bench. Lacey, though, should replace veteran Tim Jennings as the nickel back in passing situations. That strengthens the secondary.

 Peyton Manning had four interceptions in the first seven games. He's had seven in the last four. Enough already. The offense remains one of the league's most prolific, but it can't continue to squander scoring opportunities and giving the opposition good field position. When Manning takes care of the ball, the offense is tough to stop. The Titans are rolling into town, and don't need any assistance.

Slowing down Manning should be more manageable for the Titans this time, although it's never easy against Manning. In a Week 5 matchup, Manning torched the Titans for 309 yards and 3 TDs. But the Titans played that game without All-Pro cornerback Cortland Finnegan and nickelback Vincent Fuller, and cornerback Nick Harper was injured in that contest. Still, Manning has thrown 24 touchdowns this season, so it's tough to stop him no matter who's lined up in the secondary.

On defense for the Colts, the key to that is limit Johnson's touches. In the first meeting October, Johnson had only nine carries and 34 yards. He's the type of running back whose next carry can be an 85-yard touchdown. If the Titans are able to hand off to Johnson 20 times, he's going to have a big day. The Colts' run defense has been solid this season, but it occasionally suffers from sloppy tackling. A missed tackle against Johnson will lead to a gashing play. LBs Clint Session, Gary Brackett and Philip Wheeler must be on top of their game.

Despite injuries to key players and some self-inflicted wounds, the Colts emerged from November with an 11-0 record. They haven't played their best football, but are the type of team to clean up its act on the practice field and transfer it to the playing field. As long as the defense doesn't let Johnson go off -- and that's always a possibility considering his uncanny speed -- the Manning-led offense will prove too potent for Young. Take Colts.

Dallas at NY Giants (+2.5)

Last week: Cowboys beat Raiders 24-7; Giants lost to Broncos 26-6.

There will again be a hole in the middle of the Giants defense, as the Giants now know for certain that they will play the remainder of the season without MLB Antonio Pierce, who missed two games with a bulging disc in his neck before he was placed on injured reserve. Pierce was not only a team captain but he also called all the defensive signals. Although he was not a huge impact player from a physical standpoint he stood out as one of the more mentally sharp players in the league. His backup, Chase Blackburn, is a career backup and spot starter who is considered a stopgap.

It is now December and the Cowboys and Tony Romo are eager to shed their unwanted reputation as late-season failures. They can solidify their hold on first place in the NFC East with a victory and deal a crippling blow to the playoff hopes of the Giants, who have lost five of their last six games. This certainly didn't look like the scenario that would develop back in week 2 of the season, when the Giants opened the brand-new Cowboys Stadium with a last-second 33-31 victory.

In contrast to previous seasons the Giants have not been a dominant defense in stopping the run. No team powered through them more forcefully than the Cowboys, who rushed for 251 yards and three touchdowns back in mid-September. The defensive tackles, Barry Cofield and Fred Robbins, have not done a good job of holding up at the line of scrimmage, forcing too many tackles downfield from linebackers who lack great speed. The Cowboys with Marion Barber, Felix Jones and Tashard Choice have more than enough weapons to thrust upon the Giants vulnerable defensive interior.

Tony Romo has already been sacked 25 times this season, the most he's ever been dropped in his career. Imagine, if he weren't as mobile as he is and that number would be considerably higher. The Cowboys have allowed at least one sack in nine consecutive games, but New York's front seven no longer dominates the NFL. The Giants have only 23 sacks, which ties them with three other clubs for 17th in the NFL. The Giants didn't sack him in the first game and the Cowboys scored 31 points.

The heralded Giants defensive line has been a major disappointment this season, affording opposing quarterbacks too much comfort in the pocket. Now comes Tony Romo, who is more effective when the play breaks down and he must improvise on the move. The Giants did not sack Romo at all in the first meeting, although he completed only 13 passes and threw three interceptions. It is imperative that DE Osi Umenyiora pay attention to his containment responsibilities and keep Romo from wandering too far, as Umenyiora at times gets in trouble because of too much pursuit.

The swirling winds at Giants Stadium can create problems for the league's best kickers let alone a guy like Nick Folk, who's slumping. Folk, who has missed four of his last eight field goal attempts, has made just 15-of-21 kicks this season. In his first two seasons, he missed just seven kicks and gained a reputation for being at his best in the clutch. The Cowboys will have little margin for error this week against the Giants. He is four-of-nine from 40-49 yards this season. In his first two seasons, he was 17 of 18.

The Giants each week pay lip-service to their desire to establish their pounding ground game but they have turned into a pass-first team that has lost its physical identity. RB Brandon Jacobs has yet to register a 100-yard rushing game, the well-regarded offensive line has lost its bite and the entire attack has become too reliant on Eli Manning and his young receivers. The Giants the past few years have had trouble running on the Cowboys and now behind Jacobs they have two banged-up reserve backs, Ahmad Bradshaw (two sprained ankles) and DJ Ware (concussion).

And speaking of their young receivers, the duo of Steve Smith and Mario Manningham combined for 20 catches, 284 yards and two touchdowns in September. They've combined for two 100-yard games since then. The Cowboys' secondary has improved considerably since then as well. Mike Jenkins is playing better than Terence Newman and Orlando Scandrick has been solid in the slot. In the past five games, neither receiver has had more than 80 yards receiving. Hold each of them below 80 yards and the Cowboys should win.

The Giants have taken a "must win" approach into their last three games and come away with only one victory. This is truly their last stand but they are not playing well in any facet of the game. The Cowboys have struggled to score on a consistent basis but are nevertheless on a roll and should be able to move the ball and find the end zone against a struggling Giants defense. Without a reliable running game, the Giants will put too much of a burden on Eli Manning, which will allow LB DeMarcus Ware to unleash his pass rush against LT David Diehl. Take Cowboys.

Minnesota at Arizona (+4.5)

Last week: Vikings beat Bears 36-10; Cardinals lost to Titans 20-17.

Two of the most diverse offenses in the league will be on display. With the addition of quarterback Brett Favre and rookie receiver Percy Harvin, the Vikings passing game is as dangerous as their Adrian Peterson-led running game. The Cardinals have become more diverse, too. Running backs Tim Hightower and Beanie Wells have been productive over the last month. The passing game was already good, and will continue to be provided quarterback Kurt Warner plays.

Favre is healthy, and the Vikings' running game has protected him from taking too many hits. He's making a push for the MVP. Warner is less certain. He didn't play last week because of a concussion suffered the week before. Warner likely will remain questionable all week, and it's possible that Matt Leinart starts his second consecutive game. Leinart played well in his first start of the season last week, but the offense suffers without Warner.

While the Vikings dominated the Cardinals last year, 35-14, in mid-December, the game wasn't as close as the score indicated. The Cardinals were physically beaten up, and the Vikings led, 28-0, at halftime. Peterson rushed for 165 yards, and the Vikings had 239 as a team. The Cardinals offense scored only one touchdown, and quarterback Kurt Warner was sacked four times.

When the Vikings went on the road last year, they held Anquan Boldin and Larry Fitzgerald in check. The star duo combined for 11 catches but just 86 yards and no touchdowns. If Warner isn't able to play, Arizona's receivers should have a tougher time making plays against a Vikings secondary that should be at full strength with Pro Bowl CB Antoine Winfield expected to return from a foot injury.

The Vikings' defense has moved up to No. 2 against the run after getting gashed at times earlier this season. Part of the renewed success is because the Vikings have jumped out to big leads, forcing opponents to throw the ball. Arizona running backs Wells and Hightower form a potent threat in the backfield, so it's up to the Vikings to make sure they don't get going and allow the Cardinals to dictate time of possession.

The Cardinals need to slow the Vikings' pass rush, and a successful running game will keep Minnesota honest. The Cardinals have done a better job of running lately. They can't be one dimensional against Minnesota; if the Cardinals have to throw more than 40 times, they'll be in trouble.

The Cardinals will be motivated in this one, because a loss could reduce their lead in the NFC West to one game. In addition, they were embarrassed by the Vikings last season. But the uncertainty at quarterback is a worry. Warner is still suffering concussion symptoms, and Leinart would be making just his second start since 2007. The Cardinals will need to make plays in the passing game, and Warner's status makes that a huge question mark. Take Vikings.

Tampa Bay at Carolina (-6.5)

Last week: Buccaneers lost to Falcons 20-17; Panthers lost to Jets 17-6.

The Bucs are still playing pesky football, as they hung around against Atlanta last week when Matt Ryan was out. And in terms of emotion, they're probably coming at this one from a better starting point than Carolina. But at the end of the day, the Panthers' ability to run should carry them to a meaningless win — which could be their last of the season, but it will be close. Take Buccaneers.

Houston at Jacksonville (PK)

Last week: Texans lost to Colts 35-27; Jaguars lost to 49ers 20-3.

The Jags lament that they went away from their run-first philosophy in last week's loss to San Francisco. So you can expect to see plenty of Maurice Jones-Drew against a Texans defense that has struggled all year against the run.

Houston, meanwhile, will likely attempt to spread out Jacksonville's defense with four-receiver sets and operate out of the shotgun to exploit Jacksonville's shaky secondary. Whichever team establishes its offensive game plan first will likely set the tone and control the game.

Jacksonville's coaching staff will devise some wrinkles to defend the pass while getting back to its smash-mouth philosophy on offense with Jones-Drew as the centerpiece. Look for a big day from Jones-Drew and receiver Mike Sims-Walker. Matt Schaub will likely have a big game for the Texans, but the Jags will probably bracket Johnson all day to keep him from making a significant impact. Nevertheless, take Texans.

Denver at Kansas City (+4.5)

Last week: Broncos beat Giants 26-6; Chiefs lost to Chargers 43-14.

While the Chiefs may be a slightly improved team from the start of the season, they're still overmatched against a team with a lot of offensive weapons, as they showed in last week's blowout loss against the Chargers.

The Broncos may not be as stocked as San Diego, but between Brandon Marshall, Knowshon Moreno, Correll Buckhalter and Eddie Royal, they still qualify as an offensive team far too deep for the Chiefs to handle. Unless the Chiefs can dominate on special teams or win the turnover battle by a large margin, look for the Broncos pull away. Take Broncos.

St-Louis at Chicago (-8.5)

Last week: Rams lost to Seahawks 27-17; Bears lost to Vikings 36-10.

The Bears no longer have a realistic shot at a playoff berth and have adjusted their goals to something more meager -- just getting a win after losing four straight. QB Jay Cutler has been far better at home than on the road and with the threat of a running game against a poor run defense, the offense should take better advantage of opportunities.

 Meanwhile, a Bears defense allowing 45 percent of the opponents' third down conversions -- after giving up 12-of-18 to Minnesota -- is finally able to get off the field while facing an injury-plagued Rams offense that ranks 30th in scoring (130 points). Take Bears.

New Orleans at Washington (+9.5)

Last week: Saints beat Patriots 38-17; Redskins lost to Eagles 27-24.

The Saints are coming off an impressive Monday night win at home over New England. The Redskins hope is for New Orleans to suffer some sort of letdown. As well as the Saints have played, three weeks ago they only beat lowly St. Louis by five points. And the Redskins do have an excellent defense and could be getting two starters back in DT Albert Haynesworth and CB DeAngelo Hall.

However, their offensive line is not equipped to provide the help Washington needs -- even if the Saints don't blitz, which they may not have to do. And the Redskins' defense continues to allow too many big plays. Take Saints.

Pittsburgh at Oakland (+13.5)

Last week: Steelers lost to Ravens 20-17; Raiders lost to Cowboys 24-7.

The Steelers are still in good position to grab one of the wild-card playoff spots in the AFC, especially with their next two games against the Raiders and Browns. But they will probably have to win their remaining five games, or, at the very least, go 4-1 to do.

They have a schedule that will allow them to do that, but their inconsistency on offense and the surprising inability of the defense to create turnovers and close out games makes the possibility of running the table highly unlikely. Playing at home, though, will help end the slide, but Raiders cover. Take points and Raiders.

Detroit at Cincinnati (-12.5)

Last week: Lions lost to Packers 34-12; Bengals beat Browns 16-7.

The anticipation of reaching the playoffs as AFC North champs is building for the Bengals, who currently own the conference No. 2 playoff seed behind No. 1 Indianapolis.

The Bengals have good depth and talent and have shown resilience throughout the season. They face two tough opponents on the road in consecutive weeks (at Minnesota on Dec. 13 and at San Diego on Dec. 20), but they can’t afford to look ahead.

Their focus has to be on putting the Lions away as they continue their playoff push. Detroit marks the Bengal’s second-to-last home game of the regular season. They won’t let the fans or themselves down. Take Bengals.

San Diego at Cleveland (+12.5)

Last week: Chargers beat Chiefs 43-14; Browns lost to Bengals 16-7.

The Browns can't catch the Lions for the dubious honor of "worst record for the decade," but they'll finish second, and they look as bad as or worse than the Detroit sadsacks who went 0-16 in 2008. Browns fans are in "how do I hate thee" mode, having grown sick of watching a tepid running attack, an awful passing game, leaky pass defense and a run defense frequently hurt inside and out.

The Browns were ranked 32nd in total defense even before injuries left prospects even more miserable. These are days of forced smiles and counting down to a sprint to postseason vacations.

The Chargers, on the other hand, announced themselves as a Super Bowl threat with a recent 32-3 beatdown at Denver that is the master stroke of their current six-game win streak. QB Phillip Rivers has the offense humming, and the defense is finding itself.

Good teams have punished the Browns all year. San Diego is flirting with greatness, and the Browns have the potential to keep getting worse. Take Chargers.

New England at Miami (+5.5)

Last week: Patriots lost to Saints 38-17; Dolphins lost to Bills 31-14.

The Patriots lost 38-17 to the Saints last week, sending a clear message to the rest of the league: New England, for now, does not belong in the league's elite. New Orleans shut down the Pats, who have lost two in a row, including a 1-4 record on the road.

The Dolphins suffered a brutal 31-14 loss to the Bills. Miami had won five of seven heading into Buffalo and a win would have left it just a game behind New England in the AFC East. That makes this game incredibly important for both teams.

Tom Brady racked up 332 yards against Miami in Week 9's 27-17 victory, and he'll be especially motivated this week after getting shoved around in New Orleans. Look for Randy Moss to duplicate his efforts last time around (147 yards, touchdown) and the Patriots to lock down a crucial blowout over their AFC East rivals. Take Patriots.

San Francisco at Seattle (PK)

Last week: 49ers beat Jaguars 20-3; Seahawks beat Rams 27-17.

Only two opponents have won three games at Qwest Field since it opened in 2002: San Francisco and Arizona. The 49ers have won two of their last three games in Seattle.

But the Seahawks showed improvement on offense in November despite playing four of five games on the road. Now that Seattle is back home, those improvements should start translating into victories. Take Seahawks.

Baltimore at Green Bay (-2.5)

Last week: Ravens beat Steelers 20-17; Packers beat Lions 34-12.

The Ravens can throw the ball in any weather with Joe Flacco. So if the Packers load up people in the box, they should be able to take advantage of it. But this should be a chance for the Packers to establish the run with Ryan Grant, Ahman Green and Brandon Jackson, and if they do that, Rodgers will have all day to throw. T

The Packers have played well at home in the last two games and the crowd has played to the defense quite a bit. It will be tough for the Ravens to overcome the defense and the noise. Take Packers.