UFC 127 Betting: Jon Fitch vs BJ Penn

Friday, February 25, 2011

by Bodog Sportsbook

UFC 127 betting culminates this Saturday in Australia with a main event between Jon Fitch and BJ Penn. The welterweight matchup will most likely determine the No. 1 contender. If Jake Shields beats Georges St. Pierre this April, he’ll meet the winner of Fitch and Penn. If GSP wins, however, he may move up for a superfight with Anderson Silva.

Fitch vs. Penn pits two very different styles against each other. Fitch (23-3-1, 1 NC) is a dominant wrestler by trade. He likes to bully opponents, toss them onto their back, and “make them feel like they’re been put through a meat grinder,” as he puts it. He’s the favorite at -185. He’s considered one of the sport’s most boring fighters but he’s extremely effective, having won 20 of his last 21 fights.

Penn (16-7-1), the UFC 127 betting underdog at +155, brings a very different style to the Octagon. He has some of MMA’s most technically sound and powerful boxing and his Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu skills and submissions on the ground are almost unrivalled. However, while “The Prodigy” is considered a lightweight legend, he’s been only moderately successful at welterweight. Traditionally, wrestlers like Fitch give him trouble.

Some factors could point to a Penn upset win. For one, Penn trained with former welterweight champ and legendary wrestler Matt Hughes to prepare for this fight. Sure, Penn knocked Hughes out last November, but that was the washed up version. He probably still had good pointers to give Penn.

Secondly, Fitch switched to a vegan diet entering this fight and his predicted size advantage over Penn may not be as pronounced as originally expected come Saturday.

Get the best UFC odds at Bodog Sportsbook!

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anderson silva - bj penn - georges st. pierre - jake shields - jon fitch - matt hughes - ufc 127 betting