San Francisco 49ers vs Kansas City Chiefs Week 3 NFL Lines & Picks
Sunday, September 23, 2018
by Liev Jackson

San Francisco Heads to Kansas City in Meetup of Promising QBs

San Francisco 49ers vs Kansas City Chiefs Week 3 NFL Lines & Picks

San Francisco 49ers (1-1) vs
Kansas City Chiefs (2-0)

Time: 1:00 PM ET
Date: Sunday, September 23, 2018
Where: Arrowhead Stadium, Kansas City, Missouri
Watch on: FOX
Spread: Chiefs -7
Moneyline: Chiefs -280
Total O/U: 55½

The San Francisco 49ers and QB Jimmy Garoppolo are no longer the flavor of the week after their lacklustre 1-1 start. That distinction belongs to the Kansas City Chiefs and second year QB Patrick Mahomes, their week three opponent.

The 49ers offense was shut down in their week one loss to the Vikings and they did just enough in their 30-27 win over Detroit last week. Garoppolo has looked like a work in progress as he’s completing just 55.9% of his passes, is averaging 233.5 YPG and has just as many interceptions as touchdowns this season with three apiece.

Their number one wideout Marquise Goodwin missed most of the week one game with a quad injury and all of last week. He’s a game time decision on Sunday. Second year RB Matt Breida may have locked down the starter position after gaining 138 yards and a TD on just 11 touches last week.

Mahomes in the meanwhile has broken all kinds of records and is the runaway MVP in the NFL through the first two weeks of the season. He’s completed 69.1% of his passes and has thrown for 10 TDs without an interception. That 10-0 stat through two games is a record. His offensive personnel is looking unstoppable led by WR1 Tyreek Hill who has a 12-259-3 line to start the year. Sammy Watkins has been great so far with his new team with a 9-121-0 start.

They’ve needed most of those 80 points they’ve put up though as the defense has allowed 65 points and more yardage than the offense has produced in wins over the Chargers and Steelers.

San Francisco 49ers vs. Kansas City Chiefs Betting Odds & Team Stats

Gm# Team
Opener
479 San Francisco
54½
480 Kansas City
-4
  Moneyline
+237/-290
 
 
San Francisco 49ers
 
Kansas City Chiefs
1-1
Won 1
27
0-2
23.00
25.50
-2.5
0-1
0-1
1-1
1-0
0-1
Record
Streak
Last Meeting
ATS
Offense
Defense
Diff.
ATS Home
ATS Away
O/U Record
O/U Home
O/U Away
Injuries
2-0
Won 2
17
2-0
40.00
32.50
7.5
0-0
2-0
2-0
0-0
2-0

San Francisco 49ers vs. Kansas City Chiefs Betting Trends & Predictions

San Francisco:
San Francisco is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
San Francisco is 8-17 SU in its last 25 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Francisco's last 5 games
San Francisco is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games on the road
San Francisco is 5-20 SU in its last 25 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of San Francisco's last 5 games on the road
San Francisco is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Kansas City
San Francisco is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Kansas City

Kansas City:
Kansas City is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games
Kansas City is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
Kansas City is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Kansas City is 18-6 SU in its last 24 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Kansas City's last 5 games at home
Kansas City is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing San Francisco
Kansas City is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against San Francisco

The Bottom Line:
The Chiefs are -7 favorites with an over/under of 55½ and while I don’t expect another four-touchdown day from Mahomes, their offense is humming while the 49ers is hurting and that should give them a clear edge at one of the best home field advantages in the league. The Pick Chiefs 30-20.

Liev NFL Predictions: Kansas City -7
Total O/U: Under 55½
NFL Record:
September, 2018: 3-5   /   -2.50 Units
August, 2018: 6-4-0   /   +1.60 Units

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kansas city chiefs - san francisco 49ers

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