Odds to Win the Samsung Mobile 500: Tony Stewart top Favorite
Friday, April 13, 2012
by Bovada Sportsbook
The Sprint Cup Series gears up for an exciting night race this Saturday when the world’s best drivers meet at the Texas Motor Speedway in Fort Worth to compete in the Samsung Mobile 500.
The three betting favorites haven’t won in this event before
One of the most fascinating things about the Samsung Mobile 500 is that in its 15 races since 1997 there have been 13 different winners; it isn’t an event that any one driver has dominated. But despite how many winners there have been over the last 15 years, the three betting favorites this year have never won the Samsung Mobile 500.
The favorite to win this event at Bovada is Tony Stewart, who is currently going off at 6/1. Last year’s Sprint Cup champion has picked up where he left off last year in 2012, winning two of the six Sprint Cup races so far in 2012. While Stewart has never won the Samsung Mobile 500, he has won at the Texas Motor Speedway before; including the last race run there, the AAA Texas 500 back in November.
While Kyle Busch has never won at the Texas Motor Speedway, he is the second betting favorite at 15/2. One of just three drivers to accumulate four wins last season (along with Kevin Harvick and Stewart), Busch is always a threat to find the checkered flag. He finished in third place in this event back in 2010.
Jimmie Johnson (8/1) has just one career win at the Texas Motor Speedway and has never won the Samsung Mobile 500, but he always seems to come close in this event. Johnson finished eighth in this race in 2011, and had three straight second-place finishes in 2008, 2009 and 2010. Will this be the year he gets over the top?
Past winners among major contenders in wide open field
At 9/1 at Bovada Sportsbook, Matt Kenseth should be a pretty popular pick to win this race. Kenseth won the Samsung Mobile 500 last year to become just the second driver ever to win this race twice with his first win coming back in 2002. Kenseth is also in good recent form with a win and three Top 5 finishes in 2012. The other driver to win this race twice was Jeff Burton (1997 and 2007), who is currently 50/1 for Saturday.
Like Kenseth, Denny Hamlin (2010 winner) and Carl Edwards (2008 winner) have both won this event recently and won a race this year. In his last six races at the Texas Motor Speedway, Hamlin has earned two wins and one second-place finish; he is going off at 12/1 in this one. Edwards has three career wins at the Texas Motor Speedway under his belt, and in both 2011 events at this track he finished in the Top 3. Edwards is currently 9/1 to win the race.
Other past winners expected to contend this Saturday night include 2009 winner Jeff Gordon (12/1), 2006 winner Kasey Kahne (15/1), 2005 winner Greg Biffle (10/1), and 2000 winner Dale Earnhardt Jr. (15/1).
Rounding out the field for Saturday
Considering this race has yielded a different winner in 13 of its 15 runs, plenty of NASCAR bettors will be looking for value among drivers that have never won the Samsung Mobile 500 before.
Brad Keselowski (15/1) has a win under his belt this year and is arguably the biggest contender not mentioned above, but he has struggled badly at the Texas Motor Speedway; in seven career starts he has never finished better than 14th.
Will this be the race that Martin Truex Jr. (35/1) finds the checkered flag? He is currently ranked sixth in the Sprint Cup standings thanks to four Top 10 finishes (including two Top 5 finishes) but has yet to win a race this season.