NLDS Liev Jackson MLB Betting Picks: Washington Nationals vs Los Angeles Dodgers
Tuesday, October 11, 2016
by Liev Jackson

Nationals Look to Finish off Dodgers in Game Four

NLDS Liev Jackson MLB Betting Picks: Washington Nationals vs Los Angeles Dodgers

Washington Nationals vs. Los Angeles Dodgers

Nationals: 2-1 (1-0 V)
Dodgers: 1-2 (0-1 H)
When: 5:00 PM ET, Tuesday, October 11, 2016
Where: Dodger Stadium, Los Angeles, California
TV: Fox Sports 1

Things move fast in the Division Series, so in case you blinked Washington can eliminate Los Angeles on Tuesday after consecutive wins on Sunday and Monday.

Washington has outscored LA 16-9 thus far in the series. The bats have definitely come alive with Ryan Zimmerman (.455), Jayson Werth (.417), Daniel Murphy (.400) and Anthony Rendon (4 RBIs) leading the way.

Rendon also had the key hit on Monday as his 435 foot bomb to left center gave Washington a 4-1 lead that they would not relinquish.

The Nationals were the fourth highest scoring team in the NL during the regular season and they are blessed with a one through six in their lineup that’s about as good as any in the majors. And clearly they are clicking.

That is going to make for a restless night of sleep for Dodgers manager Dave Roberts as he decides whether to stick with the plan and start the rookie Julio Urias on Tuesday or goes back to his ace Clayton Kershaw on short rest.

As of Monday night Urias is scheduled to start and he comes in as one of the most hyped prospects in the game, who started to really figure things out over the last few weeks of the season. Only 20 years old, but blessed with electric stuff. He ended up fanning 84 batters in 77 innings. The Dodgers are limiting him due to his age as his 123 innings of professional ball pitched this year are already more than he’s ever accumulated.

But in August and September he had just a 1.99 ERA. Opponents also hit just .224 off him in the last month of the season.

No matter who pitches, if the Dodgers can’t produce more offence their season will likely end on Tuesday. As it stands, only Justin Turner (.500) is hitting above .250 among the regulars.

That includes Yasiel Puig who is hitless so far, presumptive rookie of the year Corey Seager hitting .231 and team leader Adrian Gonzalez hitting .154.

Thus far, Washington’s bullpen has yet to surrender a run in this series. The Dodgers bullpen had been lights out over the last month of the season. They did their part in game one and two allowing just one run. But closer Kenley Jansen came undone in game three as the Nationals turned a tense 4-3 game into an 8-3 rout.

The Nationals are expected to start Joe Ross (7-5, 3.43) in this game. He too is a young up and comer, although more seasoned at 23 years of age. If he starts, look for Washington to go back to the bullpen early, as he’s made just three appearances since July 2nd, all coming in the last two weeks of the season for a grand total of 9.2 innings. But he’s looked good in allowing just three runs.

MyBookie has the Dodgers favorites at 260-moneyline with the total sitting at 6½.

MLB Run Line Odds at BetOnline the Dodgers were favored by -1½ (-120)

Pitching Matchup:
Nationals: RH Joe Ross (7-5, 3.43 ERA)
Dodgers: LH Clayton Kershaw (12-4, 1.69)

Washington Nationals vs. Los Angeles Dodgers Early Odds & Betting Lines

Gm# Team
Opener
951 Washington - Ross
+215
952 LA Dodgers - Kershaw
-260
  Total

Live Odds & Scores also our Free MLB Fantasy Picks

The Nationals enjoyed a 8-3 victory at the expense of the Dodgers on Monday, with G Gonzalez throwing 1.2 innings of 1-hit ball at Dodger Stadium.

Washington Nationals vs. Los Angeles Dodgers MLB Baseball Betting Odds & Trends

Washington:
Washington is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Washington is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Washington's last 7 games
Washington is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road

LA Dodgers:
LA Dodgers is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games
LA Dodgers is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of LA Dodgers's last 8 games
LA Dodgers is 9-4 ATS in its last 13 games at home

The Bottom Line:
As tempting as it is to pick a Nationals team that is firing on all cylinders, I expect that whoever gets the start for LA will be in lock down mode and the team that relied on so many depth pitchers and players to win their division will be able to send the series back to Washington. The Pick: Dodgers: 3-1.

Liev Jackson MLB Parlay Predictions: LA Dodgers -1½ (-120) & Under at Bovada

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Category

Tags
adrian gonzalez - anthony rendon - clayton kershaw - corey seager - daniel murphy - dave roberts - jayson werth - joe ross - julio urias - justin turner

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