Liev Jackson NCAA Football Odds & Picks: Potato Bowl Features Akron vs Utah State
Monday, December 21, 2015
by Liev Jackson

Liev Jackson NCAA Football Odds & Picks: Potato Bowl Features Akron vs Utah State

Akron Zips vs. Utah State Aggies

Zips: 7-5 SU,6-5-1 ATS
Aggies: 6-6 SU,5-7 ATS
When:
3:30 PM ET, Tuesday, December 22, 2015
Where: Albertsons Stadium, Boise, Idaho
TV: ESPN

Utah State has quietly gone about its business to become an upper-echelon CFB team. Entering this season they were just one of four teams in the nation to win at least 30 games and get three bowl victories in the past three years. The other teams on that list are ones you may have heard of: Michigan State, Oregon and Clemson.

This year they took a step back as they finished 6-6 (5-3 conference play) in the Mountain West Mountain Division. That was good enough to tie with three other teams for second in the division conference record and fifth in the overall division standings.

Their high point of the season was a resounding 52-26 win over their main rivals at #21 Boise State back in October, but they limped to the finish with a 2-4 record after that. A big reason has been the difficulty in keeping their quarterbacks healthy. But fifth year senior and undisputed leader Chuck Keeton is expected to play and you can bet the team will be motivated to help him go out a winner.

Overall Utah State ranked 61st in scoring with 29.7 PPG. They were the 70th best rushing team (167.9) and 88th in passing (202.9/G). They were 64th in points allowed (27 P/G) and 14th best in passing yards allowed (180.4) vs. 51st against the run (156.3).

Keeton played in just five games and had a stat line of 892 yards passing, 3TD-6INTs and 51.7 Comp%.

Akron had their first winning season in 10 years this year and are just three years removed from a 1-10 season. As such the seniors will be especially motivated to go out on a high note.

The team finished third in the MAC East at 7-5 overall and tied for second with a 5-3 conference record. The strength of this team is its defence. In fact they had the third best rushing defence in the nation (89.8 YPG). They were also 28th in points allowed at 21.5 PPG. This is a team that struggled at times offensively and finished 99th overall with 24 PPG.

The team started out slowly with a 3-5 record and no major wins to speak of, but they turned it on to end the season racking up four straight victories. This is just their second bowl game in club history. A win here would give them their first eight win season in FBS (since 1987) and their first bowl victory.

Bovada has the Utah State listed as 7-point favorites and the game's total is sitting at 47 according to MyBookie.ag

On the NCAA Football Moneyline odds at BetOnline Utah State are at -250.

Akron Zips vs. Utah State Aggies Early College Bowl Odds & Betting Lines

Gm# Team
Opener
213 Akron
50
214 Utah State
-6
  Moneyline
+240/-300

Live College Football Bowls Odds & Scores - Click here

Utah State lost its last outing, a 51-28 result against Cougars on November 28. Utah State failed to cover in that game as a +3-point underdog, while the 79 combined points took the game OVER the total.

Akron won its last outing, a 20-0 result against Golden Flashes on November 27. Akron covered in that game as a -10.5-point favorite, while the 20 combined points took the game UNDER the total.

Akron Zips vs. Utah State Aggies NCAA Bowls Betting Odds & Trends

Akron:
Current Streak: won 4 straight games.
Akron is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Akron is 8-14-1 ATS in its last 23 games
Akron is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games

Utah State:
Utah State is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games
Utah State is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Utah State's last 10 games

The Bottom Line: Utah State faced two top ranked rushing defences this year (San Diego State and Utah) and lost them both. Akron is not of the same caliber team overall but they should be good enough to keep the score close. With Utah State 6.5 point favorite, look for Akron to cover and for the offenses to struggle to get to the over of 47. The Pick Akron - 21-17.

Liev Jackson NCAA Footbal Bowl Prediction and Pick: Akron +6½ at MyBookie


Category

Tags
akron zips - chuck keeton - utah state aggies

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