Duke Blue Devils vs North Carolina Tar Heels ACC Tournament Semifinal Odds & Expert Picks
Friday, March 15, 2019
by Aengus Moorehead

North Carolina Looking to Deny Duke’s Return in ACC Finals

Duke Blue Devils vs North Carolina Tar Heels ACC Tournament Semifinal Odds & Expert Picks

#3 Duke Blue Devils (27-5) vs
#2 North Carolina Tar Heels (27-5)

Time: 9:30 PM ET
Date: Friday, March 15, 2019
Where: Spectrum Center, Charlotte, North Carolina
Watch on: ESPN
Spread: Duke -3
Moneyline: Duke -160
Total O/U: 164

The third-ranked and No. 2 seed North Carolina Tar Heels will attempt to maintain their winning attitude and will seek to capture their seventh consecutive victory while returning to the ACC finals in back-to-back seasons as they get ready to resume hostilities in a huge showdown against the fifth-ranked and No. 3 seed Duke Blue Devils. The two Atlantic Coast conference nemesis are scheduled to square off in the second installment of the ACC Tournament semifinals with the tilt set to be contested at the Spectrum Center in Charlotte.

The Tar Heels may have swept the two-game regular season series over the Blue Devils but one glaring element was the absence of freshman phenom Zion Williamson, who famously split open his left shoe 30 seconds into the first game that prompted his departure from the contest with a right knee strain. Clearly overwhelmed by emotions, Duke never recovered in a 16-point loss and the sweep was a formality in their last meeting of the year with Williamson sitting this one out also. The Blue Devils enter this affair as a 3-point favorite, according to MyBookie Sportsbook, with the total sitting at 164 points

Duke Blue Devils vs. North Carolina Tar Heels Betting Odds & Team Stats

Gm# Team
Opener
841 Duke
-2
842 North Carolina
164
  Moneyline
-130/+110
 
 
Duke Blue Devils
 
North Carolina Tar Heels
27-5
Won 1
70 Away
17-15
84.12
67.53
16.59
9-8
5-4
9-22-1
4-13
2-6-1
Record
Streak
Last Meeting
ATS
Offense
Defense
Diff.
ATS Home
ATS Away
O/U Record
O/U Home
O/U Away
27-5
Won 8
Home 79
20-10-2
86.47
72.91
13.56
8-6-2
10-2
15-17
8-8
4-8

Duke Blue Devils vs. North Carolina Tar Heels Betting Trends & Predictions

Towson:
Duke is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
Duke is 21-4 SU in its last 25 games
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Duke's last 15 games
Duke is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing North Carolina
Duke is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing North Carolina
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Duke's last 5 games when playing North Carolina

North Carolina:
North Carolina is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games
North Carolina is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 15 of North Carolina's last 22 games
North Carolina is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Duke
North Carolina is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Duke
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of North Carolina's last 5 games when playing Duke

Predictions:
Despite winning by 12 points against Syracuse in their quarterfinal game, the Blue Devils were tested throughout the contest and were playing an Orange squad without its best scorer in Tyus Battle. Outside of Williamson, who went 13-for-13 from the floor, the rest of the team was ordinary at best shooting just 39.01% which won’t cut it against the Tar Heels. Add in the fact that Zion missed almost a month and will go for back-to-back games for the first time since November could have an effect on his stamina. The Blue Devils interior defense still was a mess against Syracuse and that is something the Tar Heels will continue to exploit. Take Tar Heels +3 and the under.

Aengus Moorehead NCAA Basketball Predictions: North Carolina +3
Total O/U:
Under 164
NCAAB Record: Season 2018-19: 41-41-0   /   -4.05 Units
March 2019: 11-5-0   /   5.55 Units

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Tags
duke blue devils - north carolina tar heels - zion williamson

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