Aengus Moorehead Bowl Odds & Free Picks: Falcons Look to Soar Past Eagles in GoDaddy Bowl
Tuesday, December 22, 2015
by Aengus Moorehead

Aengus Moorehead Bowl Odds & Free Picks: Falcons Look to Soar Past Eagles in GoDaddy Bowl

Georgia Southern Eagles vs. Bowling Green Falcons

Eagles: 8-4 SU,8-4 ATS
Falcons: 1-11 SU,4-8 ATS
When:
8:00 PM ET, Wednesday, December 23, 2015
Where: Ladd-Peebles Stadium, Mobile, Alabama
TV: ESPN

The Story
A study of contrast will be on display Wednesday night when the the high-flying Bowling Green Falcons will attempt to showcase their airial prowess against the run and pound virtues of the Georgia Southern Eagles in the 17th instalment of the GoDaddy Bowl.

Both teams are coming into this game without their skippers who have moved on to greener pastures. Bowling Green’s Dino Babers recently accepted a new position as head coach of the Syracuse Orange while Willie Fritz will be manning the ship at Tulane.

Defensive coordinator Brian Ward will be at the helm for the Falcons but his head coaching duties will be short lived as he is expected to join Babers at Syracuse following Wednesday's game. Running backs coach Dell McGee will call the shots as the interim coach for the Eagles.

The Eagles opened and closed the regular season on a sour note. Georgia Southern was trounced against West Virginia in a 44-0 loss to open the year and again suffered another shellacking at the hands of rival Georgia State 34-7 in the final game of the season.

Bowling Green, on the other hand, closed out its season with a flourish. The nation’s fourth-best offense roared throughout the season, finishing with a dominant 34-14 against Northen Illinois.

This is the first matchup between Georgia Southern and Bowling Green. The Falcons have made two previous appearances in the GoDaddy Bowl, including a 52-35 victory over Memphis in 2004 but were mauled 63-7 by Tulsa back in 2008.

MyBookie.ag has the Bowling Green listed as -7½ point favorites and the game's total is sitting at 64½.

On the NCAA Football Moneyline odds at BetOnline Bowling Green are at -285.

Georgia Southern Eagles vs. Bowling Green Falcons Early Odds & Betting Lines

Gm# Team
Opener
219 Georgia Southern
65
220 Bowling Green
7
  Moneyline
+260/-325

Live College Football Bowl Odds & Scores - Click here

Bowling Green won its last outing, a 34-14 result against Huskies on December 04. Bowling Green covered in that game as a -14-point favorite, while the 48 combined points took the game UNDER the total.

Ga Southern lost its last outing, a 34-7 result against Panthers on December 05. Ga Southern failed to cover in that game as a -20.5-point favorite, while the 41 combined points took the game UNDER the total.

Georgia Southern Eagles vs. Bowling Green Falcons NCAA Betting Odds & Trends

Georgia Southern:
Ga Southern is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Ga Southern is 16-5 SU in its last 21 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Ga Southern's last 6 games

Bowling Green:
Bowling Green is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games
Bowling Green is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Bowling Green's last 6 games

The Reality:
The Eagles have been pretty much running the show in the FBS this season leading the nation with 355.6 rushing yards per game. It does help matters when you average 55 rushing plays per game, compared to just 11 passes.

Running back Matt Breida (1,540 yards and 16 scores) is the team’s leading rusher, but L.A. Ramsby (772 yards), Wesley Fields (607) and quarterbacks Kevin Ellison (642) and Favian Upshaw (384) also contribute to the ground game.

Georgia Southern threw just 129 passes all season and sophomore Ellison enters having completed only 44 percent of his 84 passes for 532 yards and three touchdowns against five interceptions.

The Eagles also have a pretty solid defense, allowing just 336.1 yards per game (21st in the nation). Senior defensive back Antonio Glover anchors the secondary, leading the team with six interceptions. He’ll likely get matched up with Bowling Green’s No. 1 receiver Roger Lewis.

The Eagles also have linebacker Antwione Williams leading the front seven with 10.5 tackles for loss and four sacks. The Eagles yield 23 points per contest and 204 passing yards per game but have recorded just 21 sacks.

The Falcons ranked fifth in the nation with 43.4 points per game and fourth with 561 yards per outing. The Falcons failed to top 500 yards just once this season. Leading the way for the Bowling Green offense is quarterback Matt Johnson, who has passed for 4,700 yards and 43 touchdowns this season.

Sophomore receiver Roger Lewis is Johnson’s most dangerous target. The 6’0” Lewis caught 82 balls for 1,476 yards and 15 TDs. He’ll have some support from the likes of Gehrig Dieter and Ronnie Moore, who have 957 and 871 yards respectively.

Travis Greene leads the team with 1,220 yards rushing this season with 14 scores. Fred Coppet  could factor in as well on the ground after rushing for 796 yards on 135 carries.

Bowling Green excelled on third downs this season, converting 51.02 percent of its attempts and ranked as one of the best nationally in turnover margin (+14). A solid front seven could also help the Falcons’ offense stay on the field. Bowling Green ranks 30th in the nation with 86 tackles for loss.

The result:
The Eagles will have to contend with one of the best passing attacks in football. Not even the nation's best rushing team can save the day from the inevitable. Take Bowling Green -7 and the over 64½

NCAA College Football Bowl Prediction and Pick: Bowling Green -7 at BetOnline

BetOnline.ag


Category

Tags
bowling green falcons - favian upshaw - georgia southern eagles - kevin ellison - matt breida - roger lewis - wesley fields - willie fritz

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